Updated weekly

Geopolitical Power Map

Power doesn’t move at the speed of headlines. This dashboard tracks the slower, more durable shifts.

90-day trend
Live

Most geopolitical coverage is reactive — what blew up this week, who said what about whom. The Power Map is the inverse: a slow-moving lattice of alignments, supplier agreements, and resource corridors that takes months to shift but reshapes the next decade when it does.

I update this weekly. The visualization above is a simplification of the real model, which tracks roughly 140 actor-pairs across six dimensions. Members get the full graph.

Headline Metrics

Active alignments tracked

142

▲ +6 this month

Corridors monitored

11

▲ +1 (Red Sea)

Supplier dependencies flagged

38

▼ -3 resolved

Mean alignment age

4.2 yrs

▲ +0.3 yrs

Watchlist

What I’m tracking now

Saudi-Israel normalization

Advancing

Economic pre-alignment now ahead of political.

Turkey hedging posture

Holding

NATO + Eurasia balance unusually stable this quarter.

Egypt sovereign debt

Deteriorating

Watch the next IMF tranche.

Iran proxy network

Contracting

Battered but not collapsing. Decision-making more erratic.

Recent Signals

What just moved

May 22, 2026

New corridor agreement (Red Sea)

Three-party logistics MoU quietly signed. Reshapes shipping insurance pricing for the next cycle.

May 09, 2026

Gulf compute alignment

Two sovereign data center procurement contracts finalized. Compute is the new sovereign asset.

Apr 28, 2026

EU export-control update

Lithography line items expanded. Downstream effects in 18-24 months.

Methodology Notes

  • Methodology: every relationship in the graph is sourced to a public document, contract, or filing. No anonymous sourcing.
  • Limitations: I can’t see classified channels. Where I infer, I mark inferences explicitly.
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